BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Forest City

Class: 3A Class Rank: 43 Conference: (2-5) Overall: (4-5) Overall Strength =   61.38

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 08/28/2009 Home    W    83.18  48   23   3A   45 ( 3- 6) Cresco Crestwood       22.55      2.45  nd                  
  2 09/04/2009 Away    W    56.31  21   20   1A   30 ( 5- 5) Lake Mills             -4.33      5.33  nd                  
  3 09/11/2009 Away    L *  53.87  20   34   3A   34 ( 5- 5) Webster City           -6.76     -7.24                      
  4 09/18/2009 Home    L *  51.50  12   33   3A   18 ( 6- 4) Charles City           -9.13    -11.87                      
  5 09/25/2009 Home    W *  60.57  26   25   3A   39 ( 5- 4) Iowa Falls-Alden       -0.07      1.07                      
  6 10/02/2009 Away    L *  54.68  14   56   3A    7 (11- 1) Clear Lake             -5.95 *  -36.05                      
  7 10/09/2009 Home    L *  52.37  19   21   3A   48 ( 2- 7) Waverly-Shell Rock     -8.27      6.27                      
  8 10/16/2009 Away    W *  80.96  40    0   3A   61 ( 1- 8) Algona                 20.33     19.67                      
  9 10/23/2009 Away    L *  52.25  21   32   3A   38 ( 5- 5) Hampton-Dumont         -8.38     -2.62                      
      Averages              60.63  24.6 27.1

Best game:   83.18 = 25 point win over Cresco Crestwood
Worst game:  51.50 = 21 point loss to Charles City
Team stdev:  12.47